We are all traveling down the same highway. Some drive faster than others, and there is always that one aggressive a-hole who tailgates and cuts people off while weaving in and out of traffic, but we all generally try to do no harm. Most of us are motivated by the desire to keep ourselves and our passengers safe, but we all understand the social contract of safe driving. The worst possible outcome is a crash that causes a multi-vehicle pileup with casualties/loss of life…as well as a shutdown that can back up traffic for miles.
Stick with me: we are driving down the same highway and it starts to rain…not just rain but a huge thunderstorm with floods, high winds and hail. Everyone slows down and some even pull over to the side of the road for the storm to pass. Dangerous driving conditions mean we all slow down (a minor inconvenience) to prevent accidents, injuries and deaths.
This is where we are today. Slowing down (i.e., wearing a mask, avoiding crowds, keeping space indoors) is not oppressive or some grand conspiracy, it is common sense during uncertain and dangerous conditions. The highway is currently (at least partially) shut but if we all slow down, we can open. Instead, we have a group of a-holes flying flags and proudly honking their horns while causing wrecks/outbreaks and generally putting themselves and everyone around them in danger.
As we learn more about the current pandemic a few things are clear: this virus will never “go away” but has become a permanent fixture in our lives. The virus can never be fully controlled and will never be “over”. More hospitalizations (and deaths) are inevitable no matter what we do, but it can be slowed and contained. As discussed by those who study pandemics (remember when we listened to experts instead of cranks?) slowing down the spread is critical to prevent the medical system from being overwhelmed – a scenario which would increase the number of deaths from both virus and unrelated causes as hospitals reach maximum capacity. The so called “herd immunity” is a white whale…we contain the spread by slowing down, vaccinating and (yes) while a portion of us will get the virus and build up anti-bodies, letting the virus spread quickly through the population is folly born of ignorance. We can learn from past pandemics and the consensus number one lesson is to slow down the spread not speed up.
Best case scenario is with proper testing, tracing and effective vaccinations we can manage the spread and return to “normal” life. We will still have to “slow down” when and where flare-ups occur. There may also be future partial closures if we still have enough a-hole drivers, but that is 100% up to us.
Another analogy: when a tornado hits a populated area, it is common for some houses to be completely destroyed while others in the same neighborhood (even next door) remain standing. We are seeing a similar impact with this virus on different companies and industries. Some have been devastated (live music, hospitality and travel) while others (grocery stores, medical, delivery services such as Amazon and streaming services) have experienced a huge uplift. We should apportion federal and state aid accordingly, just as we would after a catastrophic storm that hits a specific region, to help those hit hardest – and continue to do so in the future if a partial shut down is necessary.
Our lives have changed and so should our policies. We need to take an unbiased and honest look at our healthcare system with input from all sides but with the common goal of providing affordable healthcare for all as a basic human right. The testing infrastructure should be permanent. We need to have funds/resources set aside and a permanent federal team within the CDC to address current and future global pandemics. This is not optional, to be dismantled when things are rosy. Such short-sighted thinking has made this pandemic much worse than it had to be.
Insulate these teams from politics by appointing a balanced board to make personnel decisions, determine strategy, handle logistics and formal communications. Do not leave these important functions to unqualified politicians and their sycophants or we are doomed to repeat the same mistakes.
We need a change in mindset: when a person is sick or showing symptoms from any type of cold or virus that person is required to stay home from work or school and isolate/self-quarantine. This is a burden on many workers and parents so these issues need to be addressed with support and input from both private and public sectors (e.g., mandated sick leave policy).